Polls: Jobbik is top challenger, Fidesz is most disliked party

While Jobbik's ratings are significantly below that of Fidesz among determined voters with a clear preference for a particular party, the absolute majority (54%) of eligible voters considers Gábor Vona's party as the most serious challenger of the governing party, reveals a December poll conducted by Iránytű Institute. A much smaller segment (only 13 per cent) of voters believe that the Socialist Party (MSZP), which went into a steep decline after the withdrawal of its Prime Minister Candidate László Botka, is a challenger for Fidesz. The research also shows that only Socialist voters keep hoping for an alliance on the left.

According to the findings, the relative majority (45%) of voters believes that Fidesz considers Gábor Vona as its challenger but a high share (19%) of respondents indicated Democratic Coalition (DK) President Ferenc Gyurcsány in this section, too. On the whole, the survey confirms the widely-held public opinion that there is no real challenger. The results of Iránytű's poll suggest that a higher share of voters were able to identify a challenger party than a Prime Minister Candidate. Interestingly enough, although Gábor Vona is considered  as the PM's challenger by the majority of voter groups, the group of citizens determined not to vote indicated Ferenc Gyurcsány as the best person for the job. Those who identified DK's president as a challenger are actually over-represented among DK and MSZP voters. On the other hand, the left is not lagging so far behind Jobbik in terms of perceived strength. If the leftist parties were to form a broad alliance, 40 per cent of voters would support a cooperation of leftist parties – which is 7 per cent below the share of those who would cast their ballot for Jobbik if the elections were held this Sunday (13 percent could not answer this question).

The survey polled respondents on their secondary party preferences, too. The results show that Politics Can Be Different (LMP) is the most popular (12%) go-to party as a secondary choice, Jobbik's 9 per cent is  slightly below that in this regard. It is worth noting however, that nearly one third of voters either don't have a first-choice party or are determined not to vote at all, while 22 per cent of them could not identify a second choice. The governing parties are still the most disliked parties (23 per cent). In this "race" Jobbik is the runner-up (18%), followed by MSZP (17 per cent).


The printed version of this article was published in daily Magyar Nemzet. Date of publication: January 10, 2018