Polls: Jobbik has largest voter reserve
More and more citizens claim they would definitely not vote for the government parties – at least this is the conclusion of Iránytű Institute’s poll commissioned by Hungarian daily Magyar Nemzet. The findings of the poll suggest that the clear rejection rate of Fidesz-Christian Democrats has grown from August’s 26 per cent to 31 per cent by September. These citizens claim they would definitely not cast their ballots for this coalition.
In the meantime, the rejection rate of opposition parties has slightly dropped. 15 per cent of respondents excluded the idea of voting for the Socialist Party (MSZP) while 12 per cent said they would never mark the box next to Jobbik’s name. From August to September, both parties were able to whittle down some percentage points from the number of their opposers. Of all parliamentary parties, Politics Can Be Different (LMP) had the best ratings in this aspect: only 2 per cent excluded the idea of voting for them.
Iránytű’s poll also shows Jobbik has the largest “voter reserve” of all parties. Answering the question who they would vote for if their party of primary preference were unavailable for some reason, Gábor Vona’s organization was mentioned by the most respondents: 13 per cent indicated Jobbik in this regard, followed by runner-up LMP with 10 per cent. In contrast, Fidesz and Christian Democrats were mentioned as a second choice by much fewer citizens: 5 per cent of respondents would cast their ballots for them in a case like that. The same share, i.e., 5 per cent considers MSZP as their second choice. There were also 14 per cent who claimed they would never vote for any other party than their primary choice.
Those who would never vote for any other party than their first option made up the highest share among pro-government citizens: one third of them rejected the idea. Around one fourth of Fidesz supporters named Jobbik as their second choice while 12 per cent of them indicated LMP as such. Interestingly enough, around one fourth of Jobbik supporters would be willing to vote for the government parties if Jobbik was unavailable while LMP had a higher support in this aspect: 22 per cent of pro-Jobbik citizens would consider them as their second choice. Regarding the supporters of MSZP and the Democratic Coalition (DK), the “inclination to cross over” was not quite so high according to the poll. For example, the research reveals that only 9 per cent of pro-MSZP citizens would be willing to vote for DK. The highest share of them (29 per cent) named Jobbik as their second choice instead while LMP got 27 per cent in this round. In contrast, if ex-PM Ferenc Gyurcsány’s organization was unavailable for them, one quarter of pro-DK voters would be willing to cast their ballots for Jobbik and 10 per cent for LMP.
Mariann Katona / Magyar Nemzet - Jobbik.com